Analysts Crisis in IT will pass, if in it not to trust

Research company Forrester Research has published the new forecast of development of the market of an information technology in the near future. According to analysts Forrester, in 2009 the IT Market expects falling on 10,6 % (whereas earlier prognozirovalcjа recession in the size of 3 %). However growth of incomes in the market should begin in 4th quarter 2009 in the USA and in 1st half of 2010 - in Europe and Asia.

Despite the big falling this year, it is not necessary to expect the further deterioration of a situation in the future. We consider that it only the time pause, and the market of an information technology again will start to grow already in the fourth quarter, - has declared. Andrew Bartels. (Andrew Bartels), the senior analyst Forrester Research. Crisis which has led to considerable reduction of investments into IT Sector became the main reason of this pause. As they say in the report, business and the governments have too strongly cut down the expenses, being afraid of the further deterioration of a situation in economy. As soon as the companies will understand that recession will proceed not so long as they thought, growth of expenses on IT will renew.

Good news that the heaviest already behind. We will not face awful recession, - has underlined Bartels. It is expected that in the USA tthe IT Sector will reach the lowest indicators in 3rd quarter and will start to be restored in 4th.

Forrester: As soon as the companies will understand that recession will proceed not so long as they thought, growth of expenses on IT will renew. All parts of the market of an information technology have appeared are mentioned by an economic crisis. Forrester expects that in 2009 in the USA expenses on the communication equipment will fall to 11 %, and growth will renew in 2010 Expenses on the personal computer will fall to 10 %, however next year will grow on 12 %.

Unique sector of the market which should grow this year, outsourcing, - according to the forecast is, its volume will increase by 2 %.

Earlier optimistical forecasts expressed also other sources. So, the chief executive of company Google. Eric Schmidt. (Eric Schmidt) last week has declared that we have bases for optimism for 2010. According to agency Gartner forecast, in 2009 in the world it will be sold 274 million personal computers that on 6 % it is less in comparison with last year.

But in 4th quarter growth of sales will be already fixed, and definitive restoration of the markt will begin in 2010 Experts IDC predict no more than 1 % of growth for the market of the USA in 2010 And for Europe rates of increase at level of 11 % will be restorred not earlier than 2011, is told in the company report.